The effect of sanctions on Myanmar has always been notoriously difficult to predict; never more so than in today’s complex domestic and regional situation.

As Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing grooms his juniors, who is likeliest to take his place when he steps down, and what do recent military shake-ups mean for the 2020 elections?

Daw Aung San Suu Kyi’s letter of condolence to former dictator U Than Shwe on the loss of his son-in-law has caused a stir, but it should come as no surprise.