Janes’ Anthony Davis says Myanmar’s highly motivated PDFs have taken their resistance against an arrogant and ineffective Myanmar military into a crucial second phase.
With junta forces exhausted by fighting across the country, the regime wants a ceasefire with ethnic armed organizations to allow it to focus on resistance groups.
The Arakan Army has used the ceasefire with regime forces in Rakhine State in western Myanmar to establish its own separate administration.
The Irrawaddy speaks to David Scott Mathieson, an independent researcher on conflict and peace in Myanmar, about the current crisis and how he sees the future for the country.
The Irrawaddy looks at the individuals, groups and forces that shaped the course of events in one of the most tumultuous years in Myanmar’s modern history.
The junta assault on Lay Kay Kaw has met fierce resistance from insurgents and armed civilian groups who are outgunned but have morale and public support on their side.
U Kyaw Soe Lin, accused of links with detained civilian resistance fighters, said the regime is trying to smear the NLD as terrorists.
Courts are preparing to hand down penalties in the corruption, incitement and other cases the junta has brought against scores of elected leaders since the coup.
Hit-and-run clashes with ethnic Burmese fighters in the heartland and urban guerrilla warfare now complicate the Tatmadaw’s traditional task of containing ethnic armies.
Tasked with fighting a full-fledged war in the heartland, it remains to be seen whether the military will splinter or double down on its atrocities.
Reports that the junta’s crackdown on political foes has diverted resources from drug interdiction recycle old fallacies about the narcotics trade in Myanmar.
Despite post-coup chaos, the COVID-19 pandemic and rising anti-China sentiment, the military regime is pushing forward with Beijing-backed infrastructure projects.